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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+2.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.18+3.96vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74+4.30vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+7.72vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+3.45vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73+4.65vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.17-3.65vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+0.45vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.52+2.27vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.66-2.51vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-1.70vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+2.88vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University0.56-1.87vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii2.28-8.30vs Predicted
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15California Poly Maritime Academy1.49-6.95vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.19-2.40vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.97-1.33vs Predicted
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18Santa Clara University-0.95-2.23vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-4.12vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.34-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.34University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
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5.96University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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11.72Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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8.45University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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3.35Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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8.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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7.49University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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9.3University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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14.88California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.13San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.1%1st Place
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13.6University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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15.67California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
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15.77Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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14.88California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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17.9Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinn Wilson | 23.1% | 20.6% | 17.6% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 22.7% | 21.8% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 15.1% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 25.5% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 23.7% | 13.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 16.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 15.2% | 64.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.