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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+4.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.19+1.35vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17+0.51vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.18+1.97vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.45+3.35vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.46+6.08vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73+4.25vs Predicted
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8California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+0.14vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.74-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.82vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+4.15vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University0.56-0.17vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.66-5.02vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.09-0.13vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-6.60vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-6.58vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-1.85vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.19-3.86vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-0.95-2.61vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.34-1.15vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.69University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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3.35University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
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3.51Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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5.97University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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8.35University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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12.08Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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11.25University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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8.14California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Washington1.740.1%1st Place
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11.82University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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15.15California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.83San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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7.98University of California at Berkeley1.660.0%1st Place
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13.87University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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9.42University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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15.15California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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14.14University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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16.39Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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18.85Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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16.51California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Wilkinson | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 23.8% | 20.0% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 21.8% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.9% | 14.4% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 14.6% | 17.6% | 21.0% | 13.2% | 0.0% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 15.2% | 65.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 24.0% | 12.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.