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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.46vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+5.79vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+5.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.40+3.39vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05+3.51vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.86vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.64+3.02vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+1.24vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44-1.99vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.88-4.37vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.23-3.14vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.85+0.39vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.64-3.98vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.70-5.32vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.31-8.60vs Predicted
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17Bates College2.26-5.64vs Predicted
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18Maine Maritime Academy1.62-4.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.3%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.24University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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7.39Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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8.51Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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7.01Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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5.63Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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7.86Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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12.39Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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11.36Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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13.18Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Ingham | 25.4% | 20.0% | 14.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 5.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.8% | 5.5% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 36.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.