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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Monterey Bay-0.52+14.11vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.17+1.39vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.18+3.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.19-0.61vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.49+3.26vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.28-0.19vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.45+1.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.66-0.45vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.74-1.68vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52+1.81vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.46+1.04vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.19+1.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.97vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-5.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-0.09-2.17vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.52-1.89vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University0.56-6.49vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-2.34-0.08vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-0.95-3.66vs Predicted
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21California State University Channel Islands-0.97-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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15.11California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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3.39Stanford University3.170.2%1st Place
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6.06University of Southern California2.180.1%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara3.190.2%1st Place
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8.26California Poly Maritime Academy1.490.0%1st Place
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5.81University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.71University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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7.55University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Washington1.740.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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12.04Western Washington University0.460.0%1st Place
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8.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Davis-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.03University of California at Berkeley0.730.0%1st Place
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9.43University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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13.83University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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15.11California State University Monterey Bay-0.520.0%1st Place
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11.51San Diego State University0.560.0%1st Place
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18.92Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
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16.34Santa Clara University-0.950.0%1st Place
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16.49California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Patrick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 22.5% | 21.4% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Stefanoni | 9.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Wilson | 23.4% | 21.2% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emi Stephanoff | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Skeel | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Letchinger | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam Patrick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 16.2% | 15.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| James Schrady | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 13.8% | 67.4% | 0.0% |
| Jay Weber | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 16.8% | 23.5% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 14.2% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.