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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+3.20vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+0.79vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+3.00vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.28+1.33vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96+1.43vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30+2.36vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.36+0.36vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University-0.29+4.35vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.53-2.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.29+0.74vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-0.13vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.43-1.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis0.13-1.64vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.71vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.57-8.57vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-2.71vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.81-1.02vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.25-3.01vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.95-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University3.460.3%1st Place
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6.0California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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8.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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13.35San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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11.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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11.06Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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14.29California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.43University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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14.29California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.98California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
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15.99Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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17.1Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 15.3% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 32.1% | 20.8% | 18.6% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 8.9% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 15.1% | 23.7% | 36.2% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 19.0% | 22.0% | 15.6% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 12.0% | 24.2% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.