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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+5.85vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46-0.23vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.36+3.33vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis0.13+6.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-2.65vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.43+3.47vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.08vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.96-3.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.57-3.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+0.12vs Predicted
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13California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+2.33vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29+0.09vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley0.29-2.91vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.25+0.71vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.67vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.95+0.20vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-0.69-3.65vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine-0.71-4.71vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles1.30-12.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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2.77Stanford University3.460.3%1st Place
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6.02California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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11.47Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.43University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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7.78University of California at San Diego1.570.1%1st Place
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12.12University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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15.33California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.09San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.09University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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16.71Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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15.33California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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18.2Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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15.35California State University Channel Islands-0.690.0%1st Place
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15.29University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 32.1% | 21.7% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 13.9% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Kerby | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.