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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.28+4.42vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.46+0.73vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+3.17vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.36+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-0.83vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.83vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.13+4.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.34+2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Washington1.53-2.20vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.43+0.62vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.57-4.20vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.29-0.61vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.62+1.16vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.29-0.95vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-7.07vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-1.84vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-0.69-2.79vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.25-2.16vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.95-1.81vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-0.71-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.42University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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2.73Stanford University3.460.3%1st Place
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6.17California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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8.39University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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8.83University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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7.8University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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11.62Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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7.8University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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12.39University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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15.16California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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14.05San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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15.16California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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15.21California State University Channel Islands-0.690.0%1st Place
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16.84Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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18.19Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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15.43University of California at Irvine-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bastien Rasse | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 33.0% | 22.1% | 17.9% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 14.9% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 14.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Kerby | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 22.4% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 17.5% | 49.9% | 0.0% |
| Parker Kulavic | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.