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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+3.17vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+4.01vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.46-0.26vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.43+7.33vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.30+3.60vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.28-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.36+1.29vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.29+3.91vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-1.45vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California1.96-3.86vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis0.13+1.22vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-0.14vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-4.46vs Predicted
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14San Diego State University-0.29-0.40vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.57-8.53vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University-1.25-1.11vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.95-0.71vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-4.77vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.81-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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6.01California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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2.74Stanford University3.460.3%1st Place
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11.33Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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8.6University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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11.91University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Washington1.530.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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12.22University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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11.86University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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8.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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13.6San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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14.23California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.47University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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15.89Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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17.29Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
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14.23California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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16.83California State University Channel Islands-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Pierce | 14.4% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 32.9% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 18.3% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.9% | 41.1% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 16.6% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Feito | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 15.0% | 24.8% | 32.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.