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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.46+1.71vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.43+9.44vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+1.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.30+4.52vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.12vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.96+0.27vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.28-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego1.57-1.52vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis0.13+2.38vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.53-3.32vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-0.29+2.06vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.36-4.87vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.25+2.27vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-0.47vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Cruz0.34-4.33vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.69-2.19vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-0.62-3.47vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley0.29-7.19vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-1.95-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Stanford University3.460.3%1st Place
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11.44Western Washington University0.430.0%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.2%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Los Angeles1.300.0%1st Place
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9.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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6.0California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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7.48University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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12.38University of California at Davis0.130.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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14.06San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Berkeley1.360.0%1st Place
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16.27Santa Clara University-1.250.0%1st Place
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14.53California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.67University of California at Santa Cruz0.340.0%1st Place
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14.81California State University Channel Islands-0.690.0%1st Place
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14.53California State University Monterey Bay-0.620.0%1st Place
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11.81University of California at Berkeley0.290.0%1st Place
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17.36Arizona State University-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telis Athanasopoulos Yogo | 32.3% | 23.7% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 15.5% | 16.3% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gideon Burnes Heath | 2.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bastien Rasse | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nigel Lipps | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jayden Potter | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Dorsay | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bennett Dorsey | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 16.9% | 25.3% | 23.7% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Keelin Davis | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Cynthia Kerby | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 15.4% | 19.0% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Caila Devlin | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Katey Hayes | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Corbin Bendel | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 51.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.