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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.26vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.77+1.17vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.94+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.77+3.16vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.00-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-1.11+6.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.41+1.26vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-1.88vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.96vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.58+1.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.14vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.29-3.88vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-0.97vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.97+0.49vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.53-1.13vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-2.35-2.77vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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3.17Stanford University2.770.3%1st Place
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4.57California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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8.16University of Washington0.770.0%1st Place
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4.66University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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13.63University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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7.12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.96University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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12.11Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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10.86University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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11.12San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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15.03California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.49California State University Channel Islands-2.970.0%1st Place
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16.87Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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16.23Santa Clara University-2.350.0%1st Place
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15.03California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 22.1% | 20.7% | 19.0% | 14.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 25.7% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 10.3% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Ekin | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 12.0% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 16.6% | 17.4% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 22.4% | 47.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 27.2% | 25.7% | 0.0% |
| Gaby Ahlstrom | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 20.5% | 24.1% | 18.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 17.4% | 19.3% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.