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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.88+4.49vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+7.26vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+5.49vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.11+4.43vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.64+4.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.40+1.32vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.70+1.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-2.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.23-2.23vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-7.44vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.64-2.05vs Predicted
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13Bates College2.26-1.85vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.21-6.07vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.85-2.58vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.31-8.57vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy1.62-3.85vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.44-10.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.49Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.43University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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7.32Brown University3.400.1%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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7.77Yale University3.230.1%1st Place
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3.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.2%1st Place
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9.95Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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11.15Bates College2.260.0%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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12.42Middlebury College1.850.0%1st Place
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7.43Roger Williams University3.310.1%1st Place
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13.15Maine Maritime Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.16Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Cook | 11.0% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ryan White | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Rob Struckett | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 24.0% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| David Pierce | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dragone | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Josh Saltmarsh | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hulse | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 18.6% | 36.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.