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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+2.21vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+2.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.77+0.16vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.77+4.02vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.94-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.00-1.32vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05+0.17vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.41+1.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.85vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.58+2.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.24+0.11vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.11+1.91vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-2.46vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.97+1.86vs Predicted
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15San Diego State University-0.46-3.38vs Predicted
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16Arizona State University-2.53+0.82vs Predicted
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17California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-1.94vs Predicted
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18University of California at San Diego-0.15-7.25vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-3.94vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-2.97-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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4.51California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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3.16Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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8.02University of Washington0.770.0%1st Place
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4.99University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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7.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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12.1Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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11.11University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.91University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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15.86Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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11.62San Diego State University-0.460.0%1st Place
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16.82Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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15.06California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at San Diego-0.150.0%1st Place
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15.06California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.39California State University Channel Islands-2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Eastwood | 23.9% | 19.6% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 10.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 24.6% | 21.4% | 16.5% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Ekin | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 8.0% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 12.5% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 0.0% |
| Adam Wild | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 15.5% | 27.4% | 28.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Molly Rowland | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 24.3% | 44.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.