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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.00+3.80vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+2.63vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.94+2.00vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.77+4.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-1.72vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.77-2.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley-0.24+4.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Davis0.41+1.25vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.58+3.41vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.66vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.11+2.25vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.50-4.95vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+0.64vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine-1.59-0.64vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.97+1.31vs Predicted
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18San Diego State University-0.29-6.27vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.97-2.66vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-4.36vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.53-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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4.63California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Washington0.770.0%1st Place
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3.28University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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3.21Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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11.74University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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9.25University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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12.41Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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7.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.34University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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14.25University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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11.27University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.05University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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15.64California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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15.36University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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18.31California State University Channel Islands-2.970.0%1st Place
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11.73San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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16.34Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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15.64California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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17.63Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Paulsen | 10.6% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.8% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Ekin | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 21.9% | 21.0% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 24.3% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.8% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 21.7% | 45.5% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 20.3% | 10.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 14.6% | 23.9% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.