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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+3.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.71+1.24vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.94+1.95vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.77-0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis0.41+4.33vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.00-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.77+1.48vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.10+1.98vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.50-0.89vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.73vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.24-0.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-1.11+1.42vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-1.59+1.45vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-2.97+3.26vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-0.31vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University-0.58-4.54vs Predicted
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18California State University Monterey Bay-1.70-2.31vs Predicted
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19San Diego State University-0.29-7.28vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University-1.97-3.64vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-2.53-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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3.19Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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9.33University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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4.89University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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8.48University of Washington0.770.0%1st Place
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7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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10.27University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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11.58University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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14.42University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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15.45University of California at Irvine-1.590.0%1st Place
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18.26California State University Channel Islands-2.970.0%1st Place
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15.69California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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12.46Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.69California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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11.72San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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16.36Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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17.63Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 12.6% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 21.7% | 21.4% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 12.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Justin Lim | 23.9% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Ekin | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Myers | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 16.7% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 22.1% | 46.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 14.4% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 18.4% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 25.5% | 27.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.