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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.77+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.00+2.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.50+6.03vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy2.08+0.60vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.58+7.55vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+9.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis0.41+2.26vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.05-0.49vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.71-5.75vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.94-5.15vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.77-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-1.11+2.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.24-1.90vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-3.79vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-1.70+0.05vs Predicted
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16University of California at Los Angeles-0.10-5.24vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-2.97+0.59vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-2.53-1.15vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University-1.97-3.14vs Predicted
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20San Diego State University-0.29-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Stanford University2.770.2%1st Place
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4.87University of Southern California2.000.1%1st Place
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9.03University of California at San Diego0.500.0%1st Place
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4.6California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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12.55Western Washington University-0.580.0%1st Place
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15.05California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Davis0.410.0%1st Place
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7.51Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.050.0%1st Place
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3.25University of California at Santa Barbara2.710.2%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii1.940.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Washington0.770.0%1st Place
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14.04University of California at Berkeley-1.110.0%1st Place
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11.1University of California at Berkeley-0.240.0%1st Place
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10.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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15.05California State University Monterey Bay-1.700.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Los Angeles-0.100.0%1st Place
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17.59California State University Channel Islands-2.970.0%1st Place
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16.85Arizona State University-2.530.0%1st Place
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15.86Santa Clara University-1.970.0%1st Place
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11.16San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Lim | 22.3% | 23.5% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Paulsen | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barton | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 11.3% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tan | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Samuels | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Ponting | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Eastwood | 23.7% | 18.9% | 19.3% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Lahr | 11.0% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Ekin | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Zaleski | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Luc LaMontagne | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Graves | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 19.4% | 16.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Maddy Kuhn | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Schmitz | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 23.0% | 48.4% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Pearson | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 16.6% | 27.0% | 28.7% | 0.0% |
| Kekoa Blair | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 21.5% | 19.2% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Casey Gignac | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.