← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.23vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.82+3.40vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara2.91+0.13vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy2.05+0.88vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.68-1.49vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.71-0.31vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.75+1.28vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.09+2.79vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Berkeley-0.10+2.33vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego-0.60+3.06vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Davis0.37-1.46vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Los Angeles-1.46+4.27vs Predicted
-
13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.02+1.69vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Cruz-0.99+0.82vs Predicted
-
15University of California at San Diego-2.87+5.10vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Los Angeles-0.61-2.88vs Predicted
-
17University of California at San Diego-0.75-3.16vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Davis-1.43-2.02vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-0.58-6.09vs Predicted
-
20University of California at San Diego-1.44-3.77vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-2.65-1.60vs Predicted
-
22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.36-6.20vs Predicted
-
23Arizona State University-2.65-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.23University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.2%1st Place
-
5.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.820.1%1st Place
-
3.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.910.2%1st Place
-
4.88California Poly Maritime Academy2.050.1%1st Place
-
3.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.680.2%1st Place
-
5.69University of California at Santa Barbara1.710.1%1st Place
-
8.28Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.750.0%1st Place
-
10.79University of California at Los Angeles0.090.0%1st Place
-
11.33University of California at Berkeley-0.100.0%1st Place
-
13.06University of California at San Diego-0.600.0%1st Place
-
9.54University of California at Davis0.370.0%1st Place
-
16.27University of California at Los Angeles-1.460.0%1st Place
-
14.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.020.0%1st Place
-
14.82University of California at Santa Cruz-0.990.0%1st Place
-
20.1University of California at San Diego-2.870.0%1st Place
-
13.12University of California at Los Angeles-0.610.0%1st Place
-
13.84University of California at San Diego-0.750.0%1st Place
-
15.98University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
12.91University of California at San Diego-0.580.0%1st Place
-
16.23University of California at San Diego-1.440.0%1st Place
-
19.4Arizona State University-2.650.0%1st Place
-
15.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.360.0%1st Place
-
19.4Arizona State University-2.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Kayda | 16.0% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lukas Kraak | 8.4% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Long | 23.8% | 22.7% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Collins | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sidney Gathrid | 19.9% | 20.8% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sampson Reynolds | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Haranzo | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Marshall | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Arnold | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marie-Laure Golier | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dave OG | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Xinyu Zhou | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Dashel Peters | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Martin | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jay Tapadiya | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 22.4% | 46.4% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Matiyevsky | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Canyon Breyer | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hughes | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Everson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 23.3% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaden Caliendo | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Everson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 10.9% | 23.3% | 34.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.