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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.40vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+4.41vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.56+0.97vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-0.43vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+5.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.95-2.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.64+3.24vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.73+2.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+1.66vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.19+2.43vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.61-0.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.90+3.08vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61+4.36vs Predicted
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14University of California at Davis-1.76+0.52vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles-1.95-0.03vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.37-2.97vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18-1.02vs Predicted
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18University of California at Davis-0.93-6.35vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-3.64+0.49vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-9.65vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-1.58-7.37vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-3.64-2.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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6.41University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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3.97California Poly Maritime Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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3.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.2%1st Place
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10.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.26University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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10.24University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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10.55University of California at San Diego-0.730.0%1st Place
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10.66University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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12.43University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Berkeley-0.610.0%1st Place
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15.08University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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17.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
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14.52University of California at Davis-1.760.0%1st Place
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14.97University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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13.03University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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15.98University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
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11.65University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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19.49Arizona State University-3.640.0%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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13.63University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
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19.49Arizona State University-3.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 19.4% | 22.0% | 16.0% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Schmidt | 15.6% | 14.4% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 18.3% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 24.4% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fisher Price | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Deshler | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Chitouras | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 7.8% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Harding | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 15.8% | 60.3% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ciara Harding | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 15.8% | 60.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.