← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Santa Barbara1.75+2.79vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+1.39vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+0.54vs Predicted
-
4California Poly Maritime Academy1.56+0.10vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles-0.74+5.90vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+0.76vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Berkeley-0.69+3.54vs Predicted
-
8University of California at San Diego-1.37+4.92vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Davis-0.93+2.46vs Predicted
-
10University of California at San Diego1.03-4.57vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-0.66vs Predicted
-
12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60-1.67vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego-1.19-0.52vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+1.14vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61+2.07vs Predicted
-
16Arizona State University-3.38+2.99vs Predicted
-
17University of California at Los Angeles-1.58-3.25vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18-1.85vs Predicted
-
19University of California at San Diego-1.90-4.00vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Davis-1.43-6.70vs Predicted
-
21Arizona State University-3.38-2.01vs Predicted
-
22University of California at San Diego-2.13-6.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.79University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.2%1st Place
-
3.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
-
3.54University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
-
4.1California Poly Maritime Academy1.560.1%1st Place
-
10.9University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
-
6.76University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
-
10.54University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
-
12.92University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
-
5.43University of California at San Diego1.030.1%1st Place
-
10.34University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
-
10.33Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
-
12.48University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
-
15.14University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
-
17.07Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
-
18.99Arizona State University-3.380.0%1st Place
-
13.75University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
-
16.15University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
-
15.0University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
-
13.3University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
-
18.99Arizona State University-3.380.0%1st Place
-
15.61University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerri Luttrell | 16.2% | 18.4% | 16.0% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 21.5% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Alexander | 19.7% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Schmidt | 14.6% | 12.9% | 15.5% | 18.1% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Gallagher | 9.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 13.2% | 19.6% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Stian Klype | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 16.5% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Stian Klype | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 17.2% | 50.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.