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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.85+2.65vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.56+2.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.95+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+2.65vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.03+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles-1.95+9.26vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.60+3.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-1.19+4.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.75-5.28vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.93+1.44vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.74-0.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego-1.90+3.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley-0.69-2.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz-2.18+1.92vs Predicted
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15Arizona State University-3.38+3.89vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.37-2.95vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara-0.64-6.69vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.58-3.91vs Predicted
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19University of California at Davis-1.43-5.67vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-2.13-4.26vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-3.38-2.11vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.61-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of California at Santa Barbara1.850.2%1st Place
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4.16California Poly Maritime Academy1.560.2%1st Place
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3.39University of California at Santa Barbara1.950.2%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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5.46University of California at San Diego1.030.1%1st Place
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15.26University of California at Los Angeles-1.950.0%1st Place
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10.21Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.2University of California at San Diego-1.190.0%1st Place
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3.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.750.2%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Davis-0.930.0%1st Place
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10.72University of California at Los Angeles-0.740.0%1st Place
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15.03University of California at San Diego-1.900.0%1st Place
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10.71University of California at Berkeley-0.690.0%1st Place
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15.92University of California at Santa Cruz-2.180.0%1st Place
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18.89Arizona State University-3.380.0%1st Place
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13.05University of California at San Diego-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.31University of California at Santa Barbara-0.640.0%1st Place
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14.09University of California at Los Angeles-1.580.0%1st Place
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13.33University of California at Davis-1.430.0%1st Place
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15.74University of California at San Diego-2.130.0%1st Place
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18.89Arizona State University-3.380.0%1st Place
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17.06Cal Poly University S.L.O.-2.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Alexander | 18.3% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Schmidt | 15.2% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Zieba | 19.8% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 13.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Holbrook | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Gallagher | 8.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deven Douglas | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Carroll | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Davis | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kerri Luttrell | 19.4% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonah Brees | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Tang | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julien Stroumza | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Francesco Olivero | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julio Hurtado | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 8.6% | 0.0% |
| Stian Klype | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| Blair Caccam | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| George Kripac | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Mitchell | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Anthony El-Sokkary | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Burt | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
| Stian Klype | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 15.2% | 49.6% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Helfgott | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 16.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.