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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.98+1.22vs Predicted
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3University of Texas0.65-0.28vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.61+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of North Texas-0.43-0.73vs Predicted
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8Baylor University-2.34-0.60vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.48-2.80vs Predicted
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10Rice University-0.60-5.33vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.12-5.37vs Predicted
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12Loyola University New Orleans-2.09-4.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22University of Texas0.980.4%1st Place
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2.72University of Texas0.650.3%1st Place
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4.7Rice University-0.610.1%1st Place
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4.27University of North Texas-0.430.1%1st Place
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7.4Baylor University-2.340.0%1st Place
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6.2Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.480.0%1st Place
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4.67Rice University-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.63University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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7.19Loyola University New Orleans-2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ota Dvorak | 38.7% | 26.8% | 18.1% | 9.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karina Bertelsmann | 25.2% | 27.1% | 20.7% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Loren Young | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 9.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Chris Helms | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 20.9% | 41.1% |
| Marisa Soto | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 21.4% | 12.0% |
| Carter Walker | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 4.8% | 5.1% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 8.0% |
| Natalie Kulka | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 25.1% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.