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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Texas0.65+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of Texas-1.12+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of Texas0.98-1.86vs Predicted
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6Baylor University-2.34+1.26vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.50+0.37vs Predicted
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9Rice University-0.61-4.55vs Predicted
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10Loyola University New Orleans-2.09-3.02vs Predicted
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11University of North Texas-0.43-6.74vs Predicted
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12Rice University-0.60-7.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.54University of Texas0.650.3%1st Place
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5.51University of Texas-1.120.0%1st Place
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2.14University of Texas0.980.4%1st Place
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7.26Baylor University-2.340.0%1st Place
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7.37Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-2.500.0%1st Place
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4.45Rice University-0.610.1%1st Place
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6.98Loyola University New Orleans-2.090.0%1st Place
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4.26University of North Texas-0.430.1%1st Place
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4.5Rice University-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karina Bertelsmann | 28.0% | 28.2% | 20.3% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriella Wong | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 12.8% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 18.5% | 10.4% | 4.9% |
| Ota Dvorak | 37.9% | 30.1% | 17.3% | 10.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chris Helms | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 24.4% | 32.4% |
| Sydney Boucher | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 23.9% | 37.0% |
| Loren Young | 7.7% | 9.3% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Natalie Kulka | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 19.2% | 28.7% | 22.3% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 9.8% | 10.2% | 17.2% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Carter Walker | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 19.5% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.