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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.52+4.11vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.02+4.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.60+4.92vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy2.20+5.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+0.32vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut2.59+0.95vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.50+3.12vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.84-1.78vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.23-3.84vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.07-4.41vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.25-5.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.99-3.02vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.19-2.24vs Predicted
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15Bates College-1.93-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Tufts University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.55Connecticut College3.020.1%1st Place
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7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.600.0%1st Place
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9.17Maine Maritime Academy2.200.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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4.11Boston College3.910.2%1st Place
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7.95University of Connecticut2.590.1%1st Place
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11.12Middlebury College1.500.0%1st Place
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7.22Northeastern University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.16Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.59Roger Williams University3.070.1%1st Place
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6.22University of Miami3.250.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.990.0%1st Place
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11.76Yale University1.190.0%1st Place
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14.83Bates College-1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willem Sandberg | 13.6% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wells Bacon | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Cotta | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| John Joseph | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 8.4% | 0.3% |
| Jordan Factor | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 16.9% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Giuliano | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Kerby-Miller | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 19.2% | 28.0% | 1.7% |
| Conor Lodge | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Rice | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| William Howard | 7.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Tronaas | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 0.4% |
| William Feldman | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 20.1% | 37.3% | 2.6% |
| Reilly Bergin-Pugh | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 94.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.