Race 4B

owlpalooza

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline DuBois-Weber 19.1% 17.9% 17.6% 17.5% 13.7% 8.7% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Theresa McComiskey 17.5% 20.3% 20.6% 15.4% 12.9% 8.0% 3.3% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
John Mason 31.5% 23.9% 16.8% 14.1% 7.9% 4.3% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Walker 9.4% 11.7% 13.1% 15.5% 16.6% 15.4% 12.3% 4.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Loren Young 9.4% 12.8% 13.5% 15.0% 13.8% 16.5% 11.0% 6.2% 1.8% 0.0%
Nolan Bradberry 2.4% 2.1% 4.2% 4.7% 7.3% 10.0% 19.3% 27.7% 22.3% 0.0%
Emma Cooledge 6.2% 7.2% 8.3% 10.7% 16.4% 20.6% 16.4% 10.2% 4.0% 0.0%
Sydney Rockwell 2.9% 2.5% 3.7% 4.2% 6.9% 10.9% 19.9% 25.9% 23.1% 0.0%
Daniela Zirkle 1.6% 1.6% 2.2% 2.9% 4.5% 5.6% 12.0% 22.2% 47.4% 0.0%
Nolan Bradberry 2.4% 2.1% 4.2% 4.7% 7.3% 10.0% 19.3% 27.7% 22.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.