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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.34+2.35vs Predicted
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2University of South Carolina1.28+0.16vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.68-0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Georgia0.21-0.35vs Predicted
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5Duke University-0.98+0.36vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.63-1.11vs Predicted
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7East Carolina University-1.30-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35University of North Carolina0.340.2%1st Place
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2.16University of South Carolina1.280.4%1st Place
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2.95Wake Forest University0.680.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Georgia0.210.1%1st Place
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5.36Duke University-0.980.0%1st Place
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4.89North Carolina State University-0.630.0%1st Place
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5.63East Carolina University-1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson Betts | 16.8% | 18.9% | 19.6% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% |
| David Manley | 38.5% | 29.3% | 17.8% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Travers | 19.8% | 21.7% | 25.1% | 18.0% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| William Gladden | 13.4% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 21.8% | 18.6% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Maya Lytje | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 17.1% | 26.9% | 30.5% |
| Daniel Soos | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 22.0% | 23.3% | 19.3% |
| Brian Newman | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 23.7% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.