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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of North Carolina0.34+2.31vs Predicted
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2Duke University-0.98+3.17vs Predicted
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3University of South Carolina1.28-0.91vs Predicted
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4Wake Forest University0.68-1.09vs Predicted
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5East Carolina University-1.30+0.65vs Predicted
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6University of Georgia0.21-2.43vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-1.15-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.31University of North Carolina0.340.2%1st Place
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5.17Duke University-0.980.0%1st Place
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2.09University of South Carolina1.280.4%1st Place
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2.91Wake Forest University0.680.2%1st Place
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5.65East Carolina University-1.300.0%1st Place
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3.57University of Georgia0.210.1%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thompson Betts | 17.1% | 17.9% | 19.7% | 20.9% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 2.5% |
| Maya Lytje | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 12.3% | 21.4% | 24.7% | 25.3% |
| David Manley | 38.1% | 32.5% | 17.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Travers | 21.4% | 21.4% | 22.6% | 18.9% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 0.4% |
| Brian Newman | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 24.5% | 39.9% |
| William Gladden | 13.1% | 14.5% | 20.4% | 23.2% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 3.0% |
| Adam Augustine | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 18.2% | 27.0% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.