← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Wake Forest University0.68+1.84vs Predicted
-
2University of South Carolina1.28+0.12vs Predicted
-
3North Carolina State University-1.15+2.42vs Predicted
-
4University of Georgia0.21-0.45vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina0.34-1.61vs Predicted
-
6East Carolina University-1.30-0.39vs Predicted
-
7Duke University-0.98-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.84Wake Forest University0.680.2%1st Place
-
2.12University of South Carolina1.280.4%1st Place
-
5.42North Carolina State University-1.150.0%1st Place
-
3.55University of Georgia0.210.1%1st Place
-
3.39University of North Carolina0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.61East Carolina University-1.300.0%1st Place
-
5.08Duke University-0.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Travers | 23.2% | 24.6% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| David Manley | 40.8% | 26.5% | 19.0% | 9.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Adam Augustine | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 16.1% | 27.0% | 32.5% |
| William Gladden | 12.4% | 15.9% | 19.5% | 22.4% | 17.9% | 10.0% | 1.9% |
| Thompson Betts | 13.1% | 18.4% | 22.9% | 21.0% | 14.2% | 7.7% | 2.7% |
| Brian Newman | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 25.0% | 38.2% |
| Maya Lytje | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 21.3% | 25.4% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.