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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.56+4.36vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.79+1.11vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12+1.21vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53-1.92vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.72+0.70vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.42-0.86vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.96-0.92vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.01-3.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
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3.11University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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4.21Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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5.7Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.14Western Washington University-0.420.1%1st Place
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6.08Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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4.31University of Victoria0.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 18.0% | 17.5% |
| Austin Hauter | 19.6% | 22.6% | 21.0% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Niko Twilla | 10.5% | 13.3% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 4.5% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 42.0% | 28.0% | 17.4% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Camille Ottaway | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 20.7% | 23.2% |
| Yumi-Shika Shridhar | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 18.3% | 13.7% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 15.3% | 18.4% | 34.6% |
| Fraser Buck | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.