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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.12+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.10vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.79+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.01+0.42vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.72+0.70vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.56-0.62vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.42-1.77vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.96-2.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.1University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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3.07University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Victoria0.010.1%1st Place
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5.7Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.38University of Victoria-0.560.1%1st Place
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5.23Western Washington University-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.95Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Twilla | 10.3% | 13.3% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 5.5% |
| Nathaniel Gordon | 41.8% | 28.4% | 15.3% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 20.2% | 22.2% | 21.1% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Fraser Buck | 8.9% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 7.1% |
| Camille Ottaway | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 21.7% | 22.2% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 18.9% |
| Yumi-Shika Shridhar | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.9% | 18.0% | 16.3% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 20.0% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.