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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.97vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.72+3.56vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12+1.04vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.79-1.02vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.96+0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.60-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.56-1.71vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.42-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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5.56Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.04Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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2.98University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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5.95Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.29University of Victoria-0.560.1%1st Place
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4.93Western Washington University-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 45.6% | 28.9% | 14.3% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Camille Ottaway | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 19.2% | 20.9% |
| Niko Twilla | 10.6% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 3.4% |
| Austin Hauter | 20.0% | 23.6% | 24.2% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Carter Dojan | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 16.4% | 21.8% | 28.3% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 16.3% | 14.9% | 16.8% | 17.2% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 17.1% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| Yumi-Shika Shridhar | 5.3% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.