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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+0.98vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.79+0.98vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.12+1.08vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.60+1.34vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.42-0.01vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.56-0.78vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.72-1.42vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.96-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
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2.98University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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4.08Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
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5.34University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.99Western Washington University-0.420.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Victoria-0.560.1%1st Place
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5.58Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 45.8% | 28.1% | 14.7% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Austin Hauter | 20.5% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Niko Twilla | 10.5% | 13.1% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 18.3% |
| Yumi-Shika Shridhar | 5.4% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 12.4% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 6.0% | 5.4% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 16.7% |
| Camille Ottaway | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 20.1% | 22.2% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 21.5% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.