← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington1.53+1.00vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University0.12+2.08vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.72+2.51vs Predicted
-
4University of Washington0.79-1.00vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-0.56+0.26vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.42-1.02vs Predicted
-
7University of Victoria-0.60-1.65vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.96-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.0University of Washington1.530.5%1st Place
-
4.08Western Washington University0.120.1%1st Place
-
5.51Western Washington University-0.720.0%1st Place
-
3.0University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
-
5.26University of Victoria-0.560.0%1st Place
-
4.98Western Washington University-0.420.1%1st Place
-
5.35University of Victoria-0.600.1%1st Place
-
5.82Western Washington University-0.960.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Gordon | 46.0% | 27.0% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Niko Twilla | 10.3% | 13.2% | 16.8% | 19.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Camille Ottaway | 4.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 21.8% |
| Austin Hauter | 20.1% | 24.1% | 20.7% | 17.7% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Gabriel Sanchez | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 19.3% | 14.4% |
| Yumi-Shika Shridhar | 5.9% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 13.0% |
| Lukas Koch | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 19.0% |
| Carter Dojan | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 13.5% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.