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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-0.49+2.96vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.79+2.57vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.25-0.21vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.58+0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-1.32+0.49vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.71-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.10-3.63vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-2.75-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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4.57Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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2.79University of Washington0.250.3%1st Place
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4.21Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Victoria-1.320.1%1st Place
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4.33Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.37University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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7.28Western Washington University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Martindale | 13.2% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 16.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 2.3% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 6.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 28.1% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Emily Tan | 11.0% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 14.7% | 14.1% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 3.6% |
| Emily Clark | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 28.8% | 12.5% |
| Amber Crabb | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 14.4% | 3.2% |
| John Kauffman | 20.7% | 18.7% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Peter Stiassny | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 13.4% | 70.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.