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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.10+2.29vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.71+2.43vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.25-0.20vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.79+0.61vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.58-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.49-2.02vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-2.75+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-1.32-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.43Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Washington0.250.3%1st Place
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4.61Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.24Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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3.98University of Victoria-0.490.1%1st Place
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7.25Western Washington University-2.750.0%1st Place
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5.41University of Victoria-1.320.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kauffman | 19.4% | 21.3% | 18.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Amber Crabb | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 14.4% | 3.9% |
| Zackery Martin | 28.8% | 22.0% | 17.3% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 9.8% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 4.4% |
| Emily Tan | 10.4% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 3.1% |
| Michelle Martindale | 13.7% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 2.1% |
| Peter Stiassny | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 10.8% | 72.0% |
| Emily Clark | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 18.0% | 26.1% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.