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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria-1.32+4.02vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.11+1.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.71+1.06vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.10-0.98vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.58-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.80-0.19vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.79-2.77vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-2.75-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02University of Victoria-1.320.1%1st Place
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3.01University of Washington-0.110.2%1st Place
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4.06Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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3.02University of Washington-0.100.3%1st Place
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3.8Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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5.81University of Victoria-1.800.0%1st Place
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4.23Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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7.05Western Washington University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Clark | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 20.0% | 20.1% | 8.7% |
| Emilia Garcia Bompadre | 23.4% | 23.0% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Amber Crabb | 13.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| John Kauffman | 25.2% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Emily Tan | 14.0% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 7.1% | 1.4% |
| Anthony Clark | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 16.2% | 27.1% | 20.6% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 11.9% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 3.7% |
| Peter Stiassny | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 7.9% | 17.5% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.