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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.25+1.62vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.10+1.25vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.58+1.07vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.71+0.31vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.79-0.60vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-1.01-1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-1.32-1.64vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-2.75-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62University of Washington0.250.3%1st Place
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3.25University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
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4.07Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
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4.31Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
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4.4Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Victoria-1.010.1%1st Place
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5.36University of Victoria-1.320.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Washington University-2.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zackery Martin | 31.4% | 25.0% | 16.8% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| John Kauffman | 20.3% | 21.1% | 17.2% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Emily Tan | 12.3% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Amber Crabb | 10.0% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 3.8% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 9.8% | 10.4% | 15.6% | 13.3% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 3.9% |
| Iain Betts | 8.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 15.3% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 7.3% |
| Emily Clark | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 26.0% | 12.5% |
| Peter Stiassny | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 13.6% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.