← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington-0.10+2.17vs Predicted
-
2Western Washington University-0.71+2.31vs Predicted
-
3University of Washington0.25-0.29vs Predicted
-
4University of Victoria-1.01+0.86vs Predicted
-
5University of Victoria-1.32+0.38vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-0.79-1.61vs Predicted
-
7Western Washington University-2.75+0.22vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.58-4.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.17University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
-
4.31Western Washington University-0.710.1%1st Place
-
2.71University of Washington0.250.3%1st Place
-
4.86University of Victoria-1.010.1%1st Place
-
5.38University of Victoria-1.320.0%1st Place
-
4.39Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
7.22Western Washington University-2.750.0%1st Place
-
3.95Western Washington University-0.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kauffman | 19.9% | 22.7% | 20.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Amber Crabb | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 3.2% |
| Zackery Martin | 29.5% | 25.1% | 15.5% | 13.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Iain Betts | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 16.0% | 18.0% | 19.5% | 7.0% |
| Emily Clark | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 26.7% | 11.2% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 4.1% |
| Peter Stiassny | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 71.2% |
| Emily Tan | 13.9% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.1% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.