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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Victoria-0.38+4.47vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.53-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria0.51+0.75vs Predicted
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5Oregon State University-0.31+1.22vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon0.77-1.92vs Predicted
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7University of British Columbia1.01-3.33vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.43-3.10vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.46-4.23vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.82-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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4.75University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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6.22Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.08University of Oregon0.770.1%1st Place
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3.67University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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4.9Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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4.77Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Clark | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 20.8% | 24.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 24.6% | 24.9% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Dale Whitmore | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 8.7% | 3.8% |
| Liam Brinton | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 18.7% | 19.4% |
| Arthur Bruce | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 18.0% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 9.7% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Marijke Jorna | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Bell | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 40.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.