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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.01+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.53+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.38+3.54vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.51-0.40vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.43-1.29vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University-0.31-0.70vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.46-3.15vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon0.77-4.82vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.82-2.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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2.96University of Washington1.530.2%1st Place
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6.54University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.6University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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4.71Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.3Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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4.85Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Oregon0.770.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Blasdel | 19.2% | 15.9% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Erik Skeel | 24.0% | 25.7% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 22.1% | 23.0% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.6% |
| Liam Brinton | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 19.3% |
| Marijke Jorna | 10.2% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Arthur Bruce | 14.3% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Bell | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.