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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.80vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.77+2.35vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.46+0.84vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.43-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of British Columbia1.01-2.35vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.38-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.51-3.31vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.82-1.79vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.31-3.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.35University of Oregon0.770.1%1st Place
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4.84Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.73Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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3.65University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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4.69University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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6.32Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 29.4% | 22.9% | 16.4% | 14.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 9.6% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Marijke Jorna | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 3.7% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 19.4% | 18.8% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Charlotte Clark | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 21.7% | 20.7% |
| Dale Whitmore | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 14.7% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
| Taylor Bell | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 19.5% | 41.4% |
| Liam Brinton | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.