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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Victoria0.51+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon0.77+2.37vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.53-1.17vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.43-0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.82+1.04vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.46-2.22vs Predicted
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8University of British Columbia1.01-4.30vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria-0.38-2.55vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-0.31-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Oregon0.770.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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4.79Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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7.04University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
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4.78Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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3.7University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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6.45University of Victoria-0.380.1%1st Place
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6.35Oregon State University-0.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Whitmore | 10.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Arthur Bruce | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Erik Skeel | 29.1% | 22.2% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 5.3% |
| Taylor Bell | 2.5% | 3.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 18.4% | 39.2% |
| Marijke Jorna | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 17.0% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 22.2% | 22.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 20.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.