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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Western Washington University0.46+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.51+1.86vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.77+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia1.01-1.38vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.43-1.26vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.38-0.54vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.31-1.69vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53-6.15vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.82-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.77Western Washington University0.460.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Victoria0.510.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Oregon0.770.1%1st Place
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3.62University of British Columbia1.010.2%1st Place
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4.74Western Washington University0.430.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Victoria-0.380.0%1st Place
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6.31Oregon State University-0.310.0%1st Place
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2.85University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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7.2University of Washington-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marijke Jorna | 9.9% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 3.9% |
| Dale Whitmore | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 4.4% |
| Arthur Bruce | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| Nicolai Blasdel | 17.1% | 18.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Nolasco | 10.7% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.0% |
| Charlotte Clark | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 21.4% | 22.1% |
| Liam Brinton | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 19.7% |
| Erik Skeel | 30.6% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Bell | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 19.3% | 40.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.