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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.99+2.63vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.53vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.40+1.73vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.01+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.62+1.48vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.51-1.53vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.72-2.91vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.40-1.74vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.10-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.63University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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2.53University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.73University of Washington0.400.1%1st Place
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5.42Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.47Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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4.09Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.39University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lyall | 18.2% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.6% | 10.6% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Karl Skeel | 32.1% | 27.3% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Farzana Mohamedali | 8.9% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 2.7% |
| Harrison Saliba | 6.8% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 7.9% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 21.2% | 23.1% |
| Thomas Hope | 10.7% | 10.4% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 13.2% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 20.5% | 18.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 19.5% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.