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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.99+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.40+4.46vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria-0.62+3.66vs Predicted
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4University of Washington1.74-1.62vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.40-0.47vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.51-1.60vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.01-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.10-0.62vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.72-5.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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6.46University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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2.38University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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4.53University of Washington0.400.1%1st Place
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4.4Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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5.54Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.07Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lyall | 17.3% | 16.6% | 17.0% | 18.7% | 13.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 18.0% | 21.5% | 18.4% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 24.3% | 21.8% |
| Karl Skeel | 35.8% | 25.9% | 18.3% | 10.2% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Farzana Mohamedali | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Hope | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Harrison Saliba | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 7.9% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 18.9% | 44.5% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.