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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.99+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.52vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.72+1.11vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.62+2.48vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.01+0.32vs Predicted
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6Oregon State University0.51-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.40-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.40-3.29vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.29-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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2.52University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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4.11Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.32Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.41Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.71University of Washington0.400.1%1st Place
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7.62University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lyall | 17.9% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Karl Skeel | 32.9% | 27.2% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 12.8% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 23.9% | 19.0% |
| Harrison Saliba | 6.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 13.1% | 8.2% |
| Thomas Hope | 10.9% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 22.1% | 14.6% |
| Farzana Mohamedali | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.8% |
| Marelie Vorster | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 19.6% | 50.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.