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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.99+2.61vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-0.01+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74-0.60vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.40+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.62+1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.40-1.39vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon-1.29+0.65vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.72-3.84vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.51-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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5.64Western Washington University-0.010.0%1st Place
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2.4University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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6.09University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.61University of Washington0.400.1%1st Place
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7.65University of Oregon-1.290.0%1st Place
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4.16Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.44Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lyall | 17.2% | 17.3% | 16.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Saliba | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 16.6% | 7.4% |
| Karl Skeel | 35.2% | 25.8% | 18.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.1% | 4.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 20.0% | 13.7% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 22.0% | 21.0% |
| Farzana Mohamedali | 9.1% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% |
| Marelie Vorster | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 51.5% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 13.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Hope | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.