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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia0.99+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74+0.54vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+2.61vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.40+0.58vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria-0.40+1.08vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.72-1.97vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.62-0.34vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University0.51-3.51vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-1.10-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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2.54University of Washington1.740.3%1st Place
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5.61Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.58University of Washington0.400.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.03Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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4.49Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
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7.4University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Lyall | 17.9% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Karl Skeel | 32.1% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harrison Saliba | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 16.8% | 16.7% | 8.5% |
| Farzana Mohamedali | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 2.9% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 15.7% | 18.9% | 16.7% |
| Lauren Wittkopf | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 17.0% | 13.0% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 16.8% | 24.2% | 22.5% |
| Thomas Hope | 11.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 2.5% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 18.1% | 45.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.