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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.72+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.40+4.45vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.01+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.40+0.57vs Predicted
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5University of British Columbia0.99-1.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington1.74-3.62vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.62-0.34vs Predicted
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8University of Oregon-1.10-0.63vs Predicted
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9Oregon State University0.51-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Western Washington University0.720.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Victoria-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.53Western Washington University-0.010.1%1st Place
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4.57University of Washington0.400.1%1st Place
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3.52University of British Columbia0.990.2%1st Place
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2.38University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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6.66University of Victoria-0.620.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Oregon-1.100.0%1st Place
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4.45Oregon State University0.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Wittkopf | 12.4% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Ilya Sharikov | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 18.4% | 22.6% | 17.6% |
| Harrison Saliba | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Farzana Mohamedali | 9.4% | 10.6% | 12.8% | 17.1% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Eric Lyall | 17.8% | 19.7% | 19.0% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Karl Skeel | 35.1% | 27.5% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlyn Shum | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 22.2% |
| Tillie Morris | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 45.1% |
| Thomas Hope | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.