← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.81+2.58vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston2.02+7.25vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.25vs Predicted
-
4Jacksonville University2.46+3.62vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+3.04vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University1.94+3.66vs Predicted
-
7Boston University2.57+0.46vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.77-1.57vs Predicted
-
9California Poly Maritime Academy2.07-0.07vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22-4.90vs Predicted
-
11University of Southern California1.96-1.49vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Cruz1.15+0.59vs Predicted
-
13University of California at San Diego1.45-1.37vs Predicted
-
14Northwestern University1.13-1.45vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.55vs Predicted
-
16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45-4.69vs Predicted
-
17University of Washington0.79-3.42vs Predicted
-
18San Diego State University-0.29-1.35vs Predicted
-
19University of North Texas-0.43-2.08vs Predicted
-
20Arizona State University-2.34-0.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.58Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
-
9.25College of Charleston2.020.0%1st Place
-
5.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.62Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
-
9.66Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
-
7.46Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
-
6.43Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.93California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.0%1st Place
-
5.1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
-
9.51University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
-
12.59University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
-
11.63University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
-
12.55Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
-
14.45University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
-
11.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
-
13.58University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
-
16.65San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
-
16.92University of North Texas-0.430.0%1st Place
-
19.49Arizona State University-2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 24.0% | 19.3% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Mayol | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 13.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 11.9% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 10.1% | 0.9% |
| Liam Hood | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Austin Hauter | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 21.2% | 31.0% | 6.6% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 18.1% | 36.3% | 8.5% |
| Mary Spearman | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 82.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.