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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+2.55vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+7.05vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University2.46+4.75vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+2.52vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+0.04vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+1.31vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.02+1.13vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+2.31vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.57-2.79vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California1.96-1.54vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.94-2.28vs Predicted
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13University of Washington0.79+0.98vs Predicted
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14Northwestern University1.13-1.49vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.57vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego1.45-4.67vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.29-0.41vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-5.45vs Predicted
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19University of North Texas-0.43-2.10vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.39-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.55Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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9.05California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.0%1st Place
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7.75Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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6.52Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.04St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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5.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.31University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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9.13College of Charleston2.020.0%1st Place
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11.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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7.21Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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12.51Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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14.43University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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11.33University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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16.59San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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12.55University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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16.9University of North Texas-0.430.0%1st Place
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19.51Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 24.2% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Telmo Basterra | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leo Boucher | 12.2% | 13.5% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 12.5% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Mayol | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hauter | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 6.4% | 0.9% |
| Thomas Quinn | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 13.3% | 21.1% | 30.0% | 6.2% |
| Aitor Iriso | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 18.4% | 36.5% | 7.7% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.