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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.22+4.08vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+1.53vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.02+6.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+1.20vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+1.47vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.34+2.08vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy2.07+2.32vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.45+3.25vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University1.13+3.49vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.46-2.35vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.45+0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.96-2.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.57-5.57vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.94-4.51vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Cruz1.15-2.64vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.29+0.60vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.79-3.42vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles0.52-3.36vs Predicted
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19University of North Texas-0.43-2.05vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-2.39-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.220.1%1st Place
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3.53Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston2.020.0%1st Place
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5.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.47Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.340.0%1st Place
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9.32California Poly Maritime Academy2.070.0%1st Place
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11.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.450.0%1st Place
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12.49Northwestern University1.130.0%1st Place
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7.65Jacksonville University2.460.1%1st Place
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11.38University of California at San Diego1.450.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Southern California1.960.0%1st Place
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7.43Boston University2.570.1%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University1.940.0%1st Place
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12.36University of California at Santa Cruz1.150.0%1st Place
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16.6San Diego State University-0.290.0%1st Place
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13.58University of Washington0.790.0%1st Place
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14.64University of California at Los Angeles0.520.0%1st Place
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16.95University of North Texas-0.430.0%1st Place
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19.5Arizona State University-2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Boucher | 12.5% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 23.7% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Mayol | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 11.6% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chris Kayda | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brock Paquin | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Hood | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Quinn | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.1% |
| Telmo Basterra | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Dorn | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Mowry | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wells Drayton | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aitor Iriso | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Erik Hallback | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 19.4% | 31.5% | 7.7% |
| Austin Hauter | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Abraham Dearden | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 1.2% |
| Meri Keskimaula | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 10.4% | 22.6% | 34.6% | 7.9% |
| Nicholas Peters | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 9.3% | 81.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.